Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 44.728906 51.419147 58.384136 66.144862 74.519775 83.256051 93.029016
2024-10-20 33.980261 43.240656 53.456525 65.430135 78.951938 93.631682 110.657203
2024-10-27 26.868058 37.178141 49.089681 63.592368 80.511606 99.389104 121.810915
2024-11-03 23.906639 35.367383 49.091732 66.280722 86.806269 110.146628 138.319687
2024-11-10 21.143830 33.362971 48.497986 67.946437 91.651546 119.051819 152.578510
2024-11-17 17.753827 30.119146 46.012873 66.997756 93.120657 123.815770 161.881859
2024-11-24 14.919865 27.259561 43.716425 66.017807 94.331202 128.103075 170.492861
2024-12-01 12.936600 25.338562 42.445685 66.166758 96.796483 133.796558 180.706150
2024-12-08 11.255123 23.648304 41.320102 66.365867 99.219293 139.367680 190.731602
2024-12-15 9.939554 22.351481 40.612855 67.016895 102.143555 145.510205 201.430699
2024-12-22 8.375936 20.453521 38.892487 66.169884 103.035202 149.063056 208.927378
2024-12-29 7.527453 19.639089 38.672376 67.321033 106.495719 155.811385 220.352698
2025-01-05 6.779871 18.926760 38.574175 68.649237 110.237116 162.999402 232.455468
2025-01-12 5.664393 17.378394 37.081134 67.915382 111.172431 166.598191 240.099153
2025-01-19 4.485303 15.487875 34.886902 66.034406 110.450633 167.993409 244.923754
2025-01-26 4.274941 15.555065 35.850025 68.786243 116.068495 177.598748 260.128744
2025-02-02 3.907529 15.225205 36.121468 70.490840 120.241177 185.340113 273.005809
2025-02-09 3.175531 13.929837 34.665019 69.520062 120.646332 188.129821 279.577729
2025-02-16 2.544210 12.715940 33.242676 68.517165 120.943816 190.735872 285.889492
2025-02-23 2.137920 11.974747 32.596091 68.669612 122.845196 195.448134 294.903145
2025-03-02 1.789222 11.296923 32.007825 68.873390 124.795393 200.215887 303.993220
2025-03-09 1.528306 10.804933 31.726254 69.539648 127.398552 205.857278 314.227357
2025-03-16 1.174939 9.880982 30.533489 68.672812 127.734868 208.425261 320.457947